Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.913x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.895x, across 341 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $269.60 | $105.71 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.913x | 0.895x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.078x | 1.057x |
| Median pull | $219.80 | $86.40 |
| Hit rate | 36.5% | 24.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.42x | 0.42x |
| Pulls indexed | 96 | 245 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Ultra Pack: 963 points from Jul 12 to Oct 22, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+37.9%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.69x. Wildcard Master Pack: 963 points from Jul 12 to Oct 22, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+6.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.913x vs 0.895x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Ultra Pack: 36.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Neither stands out: both sit at about 0.42x stddev/EV, so on this measure they are level.
Full pages: Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies