Sports PSA 10 vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.901x cash-out ratio against Sports PSA 10's 0.881x, across 2,063 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports PSA 10 | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | NO DATA | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $179 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $186.36 | $26.07 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.881x | 0.901x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.041x | 1.043x |
| Median pull | $153.00 | $22.45 |
| Hit rate | 32.4% | 25.8% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.35x |
| Pulls indexed | 37 | 2,026 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports PSA 10: 725 points from Aug 20 to Oct 25, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.3%), ranging between 0.76x and 0.94x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 994 points from Jul 12 to Oct 25, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+28.9%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.01x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports PSA 10 vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports PSA 10 or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.901x vs 0.881x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports PSA 10: 32.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 25.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports PSA 10 EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies