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Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.903x cash-out ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.843x, across 2,340 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Master PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$100$25
Calibrated EV$98.65$26.14
Cash-out ratio0.843x0.903x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.987x1.046x
Median pull$86.00$22.50
Hit rate20.9%26.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.37x0.35x
Pulls indexed2542,086

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Jul 28 to Oct 27, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+14.9%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.57x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Jul 28 to Oct 27, starting at 0.94x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-4.3%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.01x.

Sports Master PackWildcard Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.903x vs 0.843x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Master Pack: 20.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 26.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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