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Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.009x EV ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.983x, across 100 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Master PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$25
Calibrated EV$100.93$24.57
EV ratio1.009x0.983x
Cash-out EV ratio0.854x0.926x
Median pull$88.30$22.30
Hit rate28.6%22.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.40x0.36x
Pulls indexed793

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Master Pack: 184 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 0.96x and ending at 1.01x, up overall (+4.6%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.84x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 185 points from Jul 3 to Aug 6, starting at 0.90x and ending at 0.98x, up overall (+8.9%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.17x.

Sports Master PackWildcard Starter Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Master Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Sports Master Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.009x vs 0.983x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Master Pack: 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 22.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.40x vs 0.36x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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