Sports Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.919x cash-out ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.816x, across 445 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Master Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $100 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $95.17 | $271.42 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.816x | 0.919x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.952x | 1.086x |
| Median pull | $85.90 | $221.95 |
| Hit rate | 21.4% | 36.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.40x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 323 | 122 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.82x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.74x and 1.11x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 1.17x and ending at 0.92x, down overall (-21.5%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.23x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Master Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Master Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.919x vs 0.816x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Master Pack: 21.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies