Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.896x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.895x, across 1,887 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $249 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $263.64 | $105.71 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.896x | 0.895x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.059x | 1.057x |
| Median pull | $197.00 | $86.40 |
| Hit rate | 37.5% | 24.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.75x | 0.42x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,642 | 245 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 963 points from Jul 12 to Oct 22, starting at 1.58x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-43.4%), ranging between 0.45x and 1.58x. Wildcard Master Pack: 963 points from Jul 12 to Oct 22, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+6.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.896x vs 0.895x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.75x vs 0.42x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies