Pokémon Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.892x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra Pack's 0.872x, across 703 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $257.57 | $105.41 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.892x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.030x | 1.054x |
| Median pull | $213.70 | $86.50 |
| Hit rate | 29.5% | 24.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.69x | 0.42x |
| Pulls indexed | 457 | 246 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 964 points from Jul 28 to Oct 23, starting at 2.22x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-60.6%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.22x. Wildcard Master Pack: 975 points from Jul 12 to Oct 23, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+6.3%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.892x vs 0.872x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack: 29.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 24.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.69x vs 0.42x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies