Pokémon Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.812x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.793x, across 87 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $239.84 | $93.72 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.812x | 0.793x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.959x | 0.937x |
| Median pull | $210.00 | $85.60 |
| Hit rate | 24.6% | 20.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.57x | 0.28x |
| Pulls indexed | 57 | 30 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 459 points from Jul 28 to Sep 10, starting at 2.21x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-63.3%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.21x. Wildcard Master Pack: 525 points from Jul 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.79x, down overall (-13.2%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.812x vs 0.793x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack: 24.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 20.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies