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Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.867x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.826x, across 1,357 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokémon Master PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$101.64$97.64
Cash-out ratio0.867x0.826x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.016x0.976x
Median pull$86.50$85.60
Hit rate27.5%22.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.48x0.34x
Pulls indexed1,27186

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Master Pack: 612 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.87x, up overall (+19.6%), ranging between 0.72x and 0.92x. Wildcard Master Pack: 612 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-1.4%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Pokémon Master PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokémon Master Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Pokémon Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.867x vs 0.826x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokémon Master Pack: 27.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokémon Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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