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Pokemon Legend (Spicy) vs Pokémon Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokemon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.055x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Mythic Pack's 0.818x, across 14 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokemon Legend (Spicy)Pokémon Mythic Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$2499$5000
Calibrated EV$3116.84$4831.64
Cash-out ratio1.055x0.818x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.247x0.966x
Median pull$2363.00$4461.00
Hit rate28.6%14.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.48x0.12x
Pulls indexed77

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 283 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+47.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.53x. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 286 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+9.2%), ranging between 0.71x and 0.95x.

Pokemon Legend (Spicy)Pokémon Mythic Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokemon Legend (Spicy) vs Pokémon Mythic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokemon Legend (Spicy) or Pokémon Mythic Pack?
Pokemon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.055x vs 0.818x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 14.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokemon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.12x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokemon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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