Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Mythic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.994x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Mythic Pack's 0.818x, across 25 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokémon Mythic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $999 | $5000 |
| Calibrated EV | $1173.55 | $4831.64 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.994x | 0.818x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.175x | 0.966x |
| Median pull | $808.90 | $4461.00 |
| Hit rate | 22.2% | 14.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.56x | 0.12x |
| Pulls indexed | 18 | 7 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 286 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+51.3%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 286 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+9.2%), ranging between 0.71x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Mythic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokémon Mythic Pack?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.994x vs 0.818x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Mythic Pack: 14.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.56x vs 0.12x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies