Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.914x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Legend (Spicy)'s 0.857x, across 320 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokémon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $999 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $1075.85 | $2507.53 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.914x | 0.857x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.077x | 1.003x |
| Median pull | $825.15 | $2232.55 |
| Hit rate | 32.8% | 31.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.60x | 0.55x |
| Pulls indexed | 238 | 82 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 793 points from Aug 11 to Oct 24, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.91x, up overall (+38.7%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 790 points from Aug 11 to Oct 24, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+18.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokémon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.914x vs 0.857x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 32.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 31.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.60x vs 0.55x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies