Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokemon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokemon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.055x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)'s 0.994x, across 25 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokemon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $999 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $1173.55 | $3116.84 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.994x | 1.055x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.175x | 1.247x |
| Median pull | $808.90 | $2363.00 |
| Hit rate | 22.2% | 28.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.56x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 18 | 7 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 286 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+51.3%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 283 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+47.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.53x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokemon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokemon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokemon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.055x vs 0.994x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 22.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 28.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.56x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokemon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies