Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokemon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokemon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.055x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond Pack's 0.970x, across 19 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond Pack | Pokemon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $1146.34 | $3116.84 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.970x | 1.055x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.146x | 1.247x |
| Median pull | $851.50 | $2363.00 |
| Hit rate | 16.7% | 28.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.19x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 12 | 7 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond Pack: 397 points from Aug 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+29.0%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.97x. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 283 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+47.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.53x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokemon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond Pack or Pokemon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokemon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.055x vs 0.970x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 28.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokemon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.19x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Pokemon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies