Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Legend (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.857x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond Pack's 0.812x, across 171 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond Pack | Pokémon Legend (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $1000 | $2499 |
| Calibrated EV | $960.04 | $2507.53 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.812x | 0.857x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.960x | 1.003x |
| Median pull | $889.00 | $2232.55 |
| Hit rate | 30.3% | 31.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.32x | 0.55x |
| Pulls indexed | 89 | 82 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond Pack: 902 points from Aug 3 to Oct 23, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+8.0%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.02x. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 788 points from Aug 11 to Oct 23, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+18.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Legend (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond Pack or Pokémon Legend (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.857x vs 0.812x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond Pack: 30.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Legend (Spicy): 31.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.55x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies