Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.994x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond Pack's 0.970x, across 30 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond Pack | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $999 |
| Calibrated EV | $1146.34 | $1173.55 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.970x | 0.994x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.146x | 1.175x |
| Median pull | $851.50 | $808.90 |
| Hit rate | 16.7% | 22.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.19x | 0.56x |
| Pulls indexed | 12 | 18 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond Pack: 397 points from Aug 3 to Sep 10, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+29.0%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.97x. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 286 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.99x, up overall (+51.3%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond Pack or Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.994x vs 0.970x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond Pack: 16.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 22.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.56x vs 0.19x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies