Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.900x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond Pack's 0.813x, across 345 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond Pack | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $999 |
| Calibrated EV | $961.35 | $1059.85 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.813x | 0.900x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.961x | 1.061x |
| Median pull | $888.00 | $830.50 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 33.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.32x | 0.59x |
| Pulls indexed | 94 | 251 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond Pack: 921 points from Aug 3 to Oct 25, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+8.1%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.02x. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 810 points from Aug 11 to Oct 25, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+36.6%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond Pack or Pokémon Diamond (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.900x vs 0.813x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 33.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.59x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies