One Piece PSA 10 vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.917x cash-out ratio against One Piece PSA 10's 0.757x, across 3,778 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | One Piece PSA 10 | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $69 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $61.69 | $26.44 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.757x | 0.917x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.894x | 1.058x |
| Median pull | $53.60 | $23.00 |
| Hit rate | 22.6% | 29.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.53x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 610 | 3,168 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece PSA 10: 735 points from Sep 9 to Nov 5, starting at 1.01x and ending at 0.76x, down overall (-24.8%), ranging between 0.72x and 1.78x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 12 to Nov 5, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+1.0%), ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
One Piece PSA 10 vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: One Piece PSA 10 or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.917x vs 0.757x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- One Piece PSA 10: 22.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 29.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- One Piece PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: One Piece PSA 10 EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies