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Modern Age Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Modern Age Pack is currently the better value: a 0.889x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.832x, across 147 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricModern Age PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$100$100
Calibrated EV$105.09$98.32
Cash-out ratio0.889x0.832x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.051x0.983x
Median pull$87.15$85.70
Hit rate38.7%22.4%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.55x0.34x
Pulls indexed6285

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Modern Age Pack: 575 points from Jul 31 to Sep 21, starting at 1.84x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-51.8%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.84x. Wildcard Master Pack: 608 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-0.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Modern Age PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Modern Age Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Modern Age Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Modern Age Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.889x vs 0.832x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Modern Age Pack: 38.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Modern Age Pack has the higher volatility (0.55x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Modern Age Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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