Hockey Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.923x cash-out ratio against Hockey Ultra Pack's 0.822x, across 3,208 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Hockey Ultra Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $242.80 | $26.63 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.822x | 0.923x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.971x | 1.065x |
| Median pull | $211.00 | $22.90 |
| Hit rate | 26.9% | 29.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.62x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 93 | 3,115 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Hockey Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.82x, up overall (+22.7%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.15x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+7.7%), ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Hockey Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Hockey Ultra Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.923x vs 0.822x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Hockey Ultra Pack: 26.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 29.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Hockey Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.62x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Hockey Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies