Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 1.067x EV ratio against Football Ultra Pack's 0.986x, across 161 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Ultra Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $246.44 | $26.68 |
| EV ratio | 0.986x | 1.067x |
| Cash-out EV ratio | 0.834x | 0.997x |
| Median pull | $221.00 | $22.40 |
| Hit rate | 28.6% | 27.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.46x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 7 | 154 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Ultra Pack: 253 points from Jul 3 to Aug 12, starting at 1.17x and ending at 0.99x, down overall (-15.8%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.64x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 254 points from Jul 3 to Aug 12, starting at 0.90x and ending at 1.07x, up overall (+18.2%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.17x.
Ratios computed against each pack's current price.
03 / Quick answers
Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Ultra Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.067x vs 0.986x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Ultra Pack: 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 27.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies