Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Football Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.826x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.817x, across 230 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Ultra Pack | Wildcard Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $244.12 | $96.47 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.826x | 0.817x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.976x | 0.965x |
| Median pull | $213.00 | $85.40 |
| Hit rate | 17.2% | 23.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.33x |
| Pulls indexed | 93 | 137 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Ultra Pack: 718 points from Jul 17 to Oct 3, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-29.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.39x. Wildcard Master Pack: 719 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.82x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
- Football Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.826x vs 0.817x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Ultra Pack: 17.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Football Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.37x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies