Football Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.855x cash-out ratio against Football Ultra Pack's 0.810x, across 226 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Ultra Pack | Sports Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $250 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $239.29 | $99.51 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.810x | 0.855x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.957x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $212.50 | $87.45 |
| Hit rate | 16.3% | 22.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.37x | 0.38x |
| Pulls indexed | 86 | 140 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Ultra Pack: 672 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 1.18x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-31.1%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.39x. Sports Master Pack: 673 points from Jul 17 to Sep 30, starting at 0.74x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+15.9%), ranging between 0.74x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Ultra Pack vs Sports Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Ultra Pack or Sports Master Pack?
- Sports Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.855x vs 0.810x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Ultra Pack: 16.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Master Pack: 22.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies