Football Legend Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.323x cash-out ratio against Football Legend Pack's 0.849x, across 68 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Legend Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | EARLY READ |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $2507.58 | $389.11 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.849x | 1.323x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.003x | 1.556x |
| Median pull | $2157.10 | $217.75 |
| Hit rate | 37.5% | 35.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.31x | 0.83x |
| Pulls indexed | 8 | 60 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Legend Pack: 763 points from Aug 22 to Oct 29, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+23.0%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.14x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 1 to Oct 29, starting at 0.73x and ending at 1.32x, up overall (+82.0%), ranging between 0.66x and 1.55x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Legend Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Legend Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.323x vs 0.849x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Legend Pack: 37.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 35.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.83x vs 0.31x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Legend Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies