Football Legend Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.959x cash-out ratio against Football Legend Pack's 0.799x, across 109 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Football Legend Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $2500 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $2361.79 | $283.10 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.799x | 0.959x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.945x | 1.132x |
| Median pull | $2124.20 | $221.00 |
| Hit rate | 28.6% | 36.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.34x | 0.43x |
| Pulls indexed | 7 | 102 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Football Legend Pack: 722 points from Aug 22 to Oct 26, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.80x, up overall (+15.8%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.14x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Jul 26 to Oct 26, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.96x, up overall (+39.6%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.69x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Football Legend Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Football Legend Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.959x vs 0.799x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Football Legend Pack: 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.43x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Football Legend Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies