Baseball Mythic Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Baseball Mythic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.924x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Ultra Pack's 0.652x, across 10 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Baseball Mythic Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $5000 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $5460.18 | $192.75 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.924x | 0.652x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.092x | 0.771x |
| Median pull | $4464.00 | $200.00 |
| Hit rate | 40.0% | 20.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.31x | 0.26x |
| Pulls indexed | 5 | 5 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Baseball Mythic Pack: 37 points from Sep 7 to Sep 11, starting at 0.92x and ending at 0.92x, essentially flat across the period. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 477 points from Jul 17 to Sep 11, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.65x, down overall (-9.9%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.11x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Baseball Mythic Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Baseball Mythic Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Baseball Mythic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.924x vs 0.652x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Baseball Mythic Pack: 40.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 20.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Baseball Mythic Pack has the higher volatility (0.31x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Baseball Mythic Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies