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Wildcard Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.899x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.812x, across 2,624 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricWildcard Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$50$25
Calibrated EV$47.73$26.01
Cash-out ratio0.812x0.899x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.955x1.040x
Median pull$43.10$22.50
Hit rate27.8%26.2%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.36x0.35x
Pulls indexed5212,103

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Wildcard Pro Pack: 998 points from Jul 29 to Oct 27, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.81x, up overall (+22.1%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Jul 29 to Oct 27, starting at 0.81x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+11.0%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.01x.

Wildcard Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Wildcard Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Wildcard Pro Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Wildcard Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.899x vs 0.812x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Wildcard Pro Pack: 27.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 26.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.35x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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