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Wildcard Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.887x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.842x, across 297 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricWildcard Platinum PackWildcard Pro Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$500$50
Calibrated EV$460.42$51.98
Cash-out ratio0.842x0.887x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.921x1.040x
Median pull$396.00$43.00
Hit rate15.8%25.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.20x0.38x
Pulls indexed19278

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 601 points from Aug 8 to Oct 6, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+0.7%), ranging between 0.68x and 0.84x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 746 points from Jul 29 to Oct 6, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+33.0%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Wildcard Platinum PackWildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Wildcard Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Wildcard Platinum Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.887x vs 0.842x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Wildcard Platinum Pack: 15.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 25.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.38x vs 0.20x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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