Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.965x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Pro Pack's 0.856x, across 794 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Ultra Pack | Wildcard Pro Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $250 | $50 |
| Calibrated EV | $284.93 | $50.23 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.965x | 0.856x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.140x | 1.005x |
| Median pull | $222.00 | $43.50 |
| Hit rate | 37.3% | 30.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.40x |
| Pulls indexed | 118 | 676 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 6 to Nov 1, starting at 1.17x and ending at 0.96x, down overall (-17.6%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.23x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 6 to Nov 1, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+3.1%), ranging between 0.73x and 0.93x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Ultra Pack or Wildcard Pro Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.965x vs 0.856x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Ultra Pack: 37.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 30.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.40x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies