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PullValue

Sports PSA 10 vs Wildcard Pro Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.884x cash-out ratio against Sports PSA 10's 0.881x, across 304 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports PSA 10Wildcard Pro Pack
VerdictNO DATACAUTION
Pack price$179$50
Calibrated EV$186.36$51.80
Cash-out ratio0.881x0.884x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.041x1.036x
Median pull$153.00$43.00
Hit rate32.4%25.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.38x
Pulls indexed37267

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports PSA 10: 473 points from Aug 20 to Oct 5, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.3%), ranging between 0.76x and 0.94x. Wildcard Pro Pack: 724 points from Jul 29 to Oct 5, starting at 0.67x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+32.4%), ranging between 0.63x and 0.93x.

Sports PSA 10Wildcard Pro Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Sports PSA 10 vs Wildcard Pro Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports PSA 10 or Wildcard Pro Pack?
Wildcard Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.884x vs 0.881x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports PSA 10: 32.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Pro Pack: 25.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports PSA 10 has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports PSA 10 EV & verdict · Wildcard Pro Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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