Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.947x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Ultra Pack's 0.934x, across 259 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Pro Pack | Wildcard Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $54.80 | $276.00 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.947x | 0.934x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.096x | 1.104x |
| Median pull | $45.00 | $217.85 |
| Hit rate | 33.5% | 25.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.54x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 239 | 20 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Pro Pack: 626 points from Jul 12 to Sep 22, starting at 0.73x and ending at 0.95x, up overall (+29.0%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.04x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 625 points from Jul 17 to Sep 22, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+29.0%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.25x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Pro Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
- Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.947x vs 0.934x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Pro Pack: 33.5% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 25.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.54x vs 0.47x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies