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Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 1.033x EV ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.978x, across 68 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Pro PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictCAUTIONSKIP
Pack price$50$100
Calibrated EV$51.67$97.82
EV ratio1.033x0.978x
Cash-out EV ratio0.963x0.828x
Median pull$45.40$85.40
Hit rate31.4%23.5%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.44x0.28x
Pulls indexed5117

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Pro Pack: 288 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+6.9%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x. Wildcard Master Pack: 288 points from Jul 3 to Aug 15, starting at 1.08x and ending at 0.98x, down overall (-9.4%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.14x.

Sports Pro PackWildcard Master Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Pro Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Pro Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Sports Pro Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.033x vs 0.978x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Pro Pack: 31.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.44x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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