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Sports Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 1.561x EV ratio against Sports Pro Pack's 1.205x, across 18 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Pro PackSports Ultra Pack
VerdictEARLY READEARLY READ
Pack price$50$250
Calibrated EV$60.27$390.37
EV ratio1.205x1.561x
Cash-out EV ratio1.081x1.321x
Median pull$46.65$221.50
Hit rate41.7%33.3%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.38x0.53x
Pulls indexed126

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Pro Pack: 161 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.97x and ending at 1.21x, up overall (+24.7%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.21x. Sports Ultra Pack: 161 points from Jul 3 to Aug 5, starting at 0.95x and ending at 1.56x, up overall (+63.6%), ranging between 0.78x and 2.00x.

Sports Pro PackSports Ultra Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Pro Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (1.561x vs 1.205x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Pro Pack: 41.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 33.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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