Sports Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Sports Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.919x cash-out ratio against Sports Pro Pack's 0.852x, across 845 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Sports Pro Pack | Sports Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $49.73 | $271.42 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.852x | 0.919x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.995x | 1.086x |
| Median pull | $44.10 | $221.95 |
| Hit rate | 32.8% | 36.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.47x | 0.47x |
| Pulls indexed | 723 | 122 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.98x and ending at 0.85x, down overall (-13.3%), ranging between 0.82x and 1.01x. Sports Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 1.17x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-19.9%), ranging between 0.68x and 1.23x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Sports Pro Pack vs Sports Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Sports Pro Pack or Sports Ultra Pack?
- Sports Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.919x vs 0.852x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Sports Pro Pack: 32.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports Ultra Pack: 36.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Neither stands out: both sit at about 0.47x stddev/EV, so on this measure they are level.
Full pages: Sports Pro Pack EV & verdict · Sports Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies