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Sports Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Sports Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 0.900x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Platinum Pack's 0.710x, across 32 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Platinum PackWildcard Platinum Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$500$500
Calibrated EV$519.48$385.29
Cash-out ratio0.900x0.710x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.039x0.771x
Median pull$432.80$385.50
Hit rate21.4%11.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.46x0.15x
Pulls indexed1418

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Platinum Pack: 559 points from Aug 8 to Oct 3, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.90x, up overall (+29.1%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.04x. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 551 points from Aug 8 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.71x, down overall (-15.7%), ranging between 0.68x and 0.84x.

Sports Platinum PackWildcard Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Platinum Pack or Wildcard Platinum Pack?
Sports Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.900x vs 0.710x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Platinum Pack: 21.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Platinum Pack: 11.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Platinum Pack has the higher volatility (0.46x vs 0.15x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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