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Sports Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 1.112x cash-out ratio against Sports Platinum Pack's 0.846x, across 291 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPBUY
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$494.87$131.40
Cash-out ratio0.846x1.112x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.990x1.314x
Median pull$434.75$88.00
Hit rate32.4%27.2%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.38x0.51x
Pulls indexed34257

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Platinum Pack: 831 points from Aug 8 to Oct 25, starting at 0.69x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+23.1%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.20x. Wildcard Master Pack: 986 points from Jul 12 to Oct 25, starting at 0.84x and ending at 1.11x, up overall (+32.5%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.11x.

Sports Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Platinum Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.112x vs 0.846x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Platinum Pack: 32.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 27.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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