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PullValue

Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.980x EV ratio against Sports Master Pack's 0.953x, across 398 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSports Master PackWildcard Basic Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$100$15
Calibrated EV$95.33$14.70
EV ratio0.953x0.980x
Cash-out EV ratio0.806x0.929x
Median pull$87.10$13.05
Hit rate25.0%16.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.39x0.38x
Pulls indexed8390

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Sports Master Pack: 203 points from Jul 3 to Aug 7, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.85x and 1.84x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 204 points from Jul 3 to Aug 7, starting at 0.96x and ending at 0.98x, up overall (+1.8%), ranging between 0.89x and 1.28x.

Sports Master PackWildcard Basic Pack

Ratios computed against each pack's current price.

03 / Quick answers

Sports Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Sports Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better EV ratio (0.980x vs 0.953x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Sports Master Pack: 25.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 16.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Sports Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.39x vs 0.38x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Sports Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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