Soccer Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Soccer Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.898x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.831x, across 987 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Soccer Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.20 | $23.75 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.898x | 0.831x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.008x | 0.950x |
| Median pull | $22.00 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 25.9% | 23.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.34x | 0.36x |
| Pulls indexed | 297 | 690 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Starter Pack: 613 points from Jul 28 to Sep 22, starting at 1.08x and ending at 0.90x, down overall (-16.8%), ranging between 0.78x and 1.08x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 626 points from Jul 12 to Sep 22, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+17.4%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.02x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Soccer Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Soccer Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Soccer Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.898x vs 0.831x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Soccer Starter Pack: 25.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Wildcard Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.34x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Soccer Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies