Soccer Starter Pack vs Sports PSA 10: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Soccer Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.944x cash-out ratio against Sports PSA 10's 0.881x, across 845 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Soccer Starter Pack | Sports PSA 10 |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | NO DATA |
| Pack price | $25 | $179 |
| Calibrated EV | $26.18 | $186.36 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.944x | 0.881x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.047x | 1.041x |
| Median pull | $22.50 | $153.00 |
| Hit rate | 30.9% | 32.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 808 | 37 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Starter Pack: 966 points from Jul 28 to Oct 24, starting at 1.09x and ending at 0.94x, down overall (-13.5%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.09x. Sports PSA 10: 710 points from Aug 20 to Oct 24, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+6.3%), ranging between 0.76x and 0.94x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Soccer Starter Pack vs Sports PSA 10 — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Soccer Starter Pack or Sports PSA 10?
- Soccer Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.944x vs 0.881x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Soccer Starter Pack: 30.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Sports PSA 10: 32.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Soccer Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Soccer Starter Pack EV & verdict · Sports PSA 10 EV & verdict · Why average EV lies