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Soccer Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.934x cash-out ratio against Soccer Pro Pack's 0.885x, across 276 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Pro PackWildcard Ultra Pack
VerdictCAUTIONCAUTION
Pack price$50$250
Calibrated EV$50.82$276.00
Cash-out ratio0.885x0.934x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.016x1.104x
Median pull$42.85$217.85
Hit rate27.3%25.0%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.44x0.47x
Pulls indexed25620

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Pro Pack: 615 points from Jul 26 to Sep 22, starting at 0.61x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+45.8%), ranging between 0.61x and 1.02x. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 622 points from Jul 17 to Sep 22, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.93x, up overall (+29.0%), ranging between 0.65x and 1.25x.

Soccer Pro PackWildcard Ultra Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Pro Pack vs Wildcard Ultra Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Pro Pack or Wildcard Ultra Pack?
Wildcard Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.934x vs 0.885x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Pro Pack: 27.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Ultra Pack: 25.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.47x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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