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Soccer Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.854x cash-out ratio against Soccer Platinum Pack's 0.805x, across 100 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSoccer Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPCAUTION
Pack price$500$100
Calibrated EV$471.60$100.92
Cash-out ratio0.805x0.854x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.943x1.009x
Median pull$425.50$85.60
Hit rate31.8%23.1%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.28x0.35x
Pulls indexed2278

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Soccer Platinum Pack: 557 points from Jul 30 to Sep 18, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-1.7%), ranging between 0.64x and 0.92x. Wildcard Master Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+1.9%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

Soccer Platinum PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Soccer Platinum Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Soccer Platinum Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.854x vs 0.805x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Soccer Platinum Pack: 31.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 23.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.35x vs 0.28x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Soccer Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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