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SLAM Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Wildcard Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.865x cash-out ratio against SLAM Pack's 0.845x, across 499 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricSLAM PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$120$100
Calibrated EV$119.87$101.46
Cash-out ratio0.845x0.865x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.999x1.015x
Median pull$100.00$89.30
Hit rate24.2%30.9%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.44x0.48x
Pulls indexed66433

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. SLAM Pack: 1000 points from Aug 11 to Nov 5, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.84x, up overall (+19.9%), ranging between 0.51x and 1.18x. Wildcard Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 11 to Nov 5, starting at 0.83x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+3.8%), ranging between 0.73x and 1.16x.

SLAM PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

SLAM Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: SLAM Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
Wildcard Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.865x vs 0.845x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
SLAM Pack: 24.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 30.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: SLAM Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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