Pokémon Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.972x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.923x, across 35,647 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $27.09 | $26.63 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.972x | 0.923x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.084x | 1.065x |
| Median pull | $22.20 | $22.90 |
| Hit rate | 30.1% | 29.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.61x | 0.41x |
| Pulls indexed | 32,669 | 2,978 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.89x and ending at 0.97x, up overall (+8.8%), ranging between 0.88x and 0.97x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.87x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+6.0%), ranging between 0.81x and 0.95x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Pokémon Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.972x vs 0.923x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Starter Pack: 30.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 29.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.61x vs 0.41x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies