Pokémon Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.872x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.826x, across 6,980 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Starter Pack | Wildcard Starter Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $25 |
| Calibrated EV | $24.68 | $23.51 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.872x | 0.826x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.987x | 0.940x |
| Median pull | $21.90 | $21.90 |
| Hit rate | 25.4% | 23.3% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.45x | 0.37x |
| Pulls indexed | 6,362 | 618 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Starter Pack: 590 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.89x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-1.8%), ranging between 0.84x and 0.93x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 590 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+16.2%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.03x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
- Pokémon Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.872x vs 0.826x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Starter Pack: 25.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.3%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.45x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies