Pokémon Starter Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 1.110x EV ratio against Pokémon Starter Pack's 1.031x, across 2,254 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Starter Pack | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $25 | $249 |
| Calibrated EV | $25.78 | $276.41 |
| EV ratio | 1.031x | 1.110x |
| Cash-out EV ratio | 0.986x | 0.939x |
| Median pull | $22.30 | $399.10 |
| Hit rate | 26.3% | 60.0% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 2,249 | 5 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
EV ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Starter Pack: 323 points from Jul 3 to Aug 20, starting at 0.76x and ending at 1.03x, up overall (+36.2%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.05x. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 323 points from Jul 3 to Aug 20, starting at 1.57x and ending at 1.11x, down overall (-29.3%), ranging between 0.53x and 1.87x.
Pokémon Starter PackPokémon Ultra (Spicy)
Ratios computed against each pack's current price.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Starter Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Starter Pack or Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) currently offers the better EV ratio (1.110x vs 1.031x). Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Starter Pack: 26.3% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 60.0%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.49x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Starter Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies