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Pokémon Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.848x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.835x, across 2,741 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokémon Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$50$25
Calibrated EV$49.68$23.76
Cash-out ratio0.848x0.835x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.994x0.950x
Median pull$43.40$21.90
Hit rate27.7%23.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.51x0.37x
Pulls indexed2,137604

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Pro Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+3.3%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.95x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+17.4%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.03x.

Pokémon Pro PackWildcard Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokémon Pro Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokémon Pro Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
Pokémon Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.848x vs 0.835x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokémon Pro Pack: 27.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokémon Pro Pack has the higher volatility (0.51x vs 0.37x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokémon Pro Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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