Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.952x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Pro Pack's 0.861x, across 4,857 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Pro Pack | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $50 | $249 |
| Calibrated EV | $50.29 | $279.73 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.861x | 0.952x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.006x | 1.123x |
| Median pull | $43.70 | $185.30 |
| Hit rate | 27.4% | 39.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.49x | 0.74x |
| Pulls indexed | 3,898 | 959 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Pro Pack: 730 points from Jul 12 to Oct 4, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.86x, up overall (+4.6%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.95x. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 730 points from Jul 12 to Oct 4, starting at 1.58x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-40.0%), ranging between 0.45x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Pro Pack or Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.952x vs 0.861x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Pro Pack: 27.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 39.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.74x vs 0.49x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Pro Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies