Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.847x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra Pack's 0.830x, across 2,374 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Pro Pack | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $49.61 | $245.24 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.847x | 0.830x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.992x | 0.981x |
| Median pull | $43.45 | $210.85 |
| Hit rate | 27.7% | 26.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.51x | 0.53x |
| Pulls indexed | 2,198 | 176 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Pro Pack: 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 0.82x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+3.2%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.95x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 585 points from Jul 28 to Sep 19, starting at 2.21x and ending at 0.83x, down overall (-62.5%), ranging between 0.75x and 2.21x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Pro Pack or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.847x vs 0.830x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Pro Pack: 27.7% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 26.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.53x vs 0.51x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Pro Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies