Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Pro Pack is currently the better value: a 0.907x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra Pack's 0.842x, across 11,804 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Pro Pack | Pokémon Ultra Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $50 | $250 |
| Calibrated EV | $53.01 | $248.80 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.907x | 0.842x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.060x | 0.995x |
| Median pull | $43.10 | $213.95 |
| Hit rate | 30.8% | 30.9% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.63x | 0.63x |
| Pulls indexed | 11,180 | 624 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Pro Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.91x and ending at 0.91x, down overall (-0.8%), ranging between 0.84x and 0.93x. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.97x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-12.9%), ranging between 0.75x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Pro Pack vs Pokémon Ultra Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Pro Pack or Pokémon Ultra Pack?
- Pokémon Pro Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.907x vs 0.842x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Pro Pack: 30.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra Pack: 30.9%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.63x vs 0.63x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Pro Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies