Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.916x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)'s 0.872x, across 2,910 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $499 | $249 |
| Calibrated EV | $532.84 | $256.39 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.916x | 0.872x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.068x | 1.030x |
| Median pull | $415.60 | $202.60 |
| Hit rate | 34.6% | 36.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.59x | 0.74x |
| Pulls indexed | 735 | 2,175 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 0.86x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+6.0%), ranging between 0.59x and 1.04x. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 1000 points from Aug 9 to Nov 4, starting at 1.58x and ending at 0.87x, down overall (-44.8%), ranging between 0.45x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) or Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.916x vs 0.872x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 34.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 36.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.74x vs 0.59x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies