Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.017x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)'s 0.942x, across 604 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Platinum Pack | Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $500 | $249 |
| Calibrated EV | $587.48 | $276.54 |
| Cash-out ratio | 1.017x | 0.942x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.175x | 1.111x |
| Median pull | $459.95 | $177.05 |
| Hit rate | 41.9% | 37.5% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.44x | 0.77x |
| Pulls indexed | 62 | 542 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Platinum Pack: 544 points from Aug 1 to Sep 19, starting at 0.87x and ending at 1.02x, up overall (+17.4%), ranging between 0.76x and 1.49x. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 596 points from Jul 12 to Sep 19, starting at 1.58x and ending at 0.95x, down overall (-40.3%), ranging between 0.45x and 1.58x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Platinum Pack vs Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Platinum Pack or Pokémon Ultra (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.017x vs 0.942x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Platinum Pack: 41.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Ultra (Spicy): 37.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.77x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Ultra (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies