Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.875x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Basic Pack's 0.844x, across 3,373 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Master Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $102.52 | $14.48 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.875x | 0.844x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.025x | 0.965x |
| Median pull | $86.70 | $13.00 |
| Hit rate | 28.1% | 19.4% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.39x |
| Pulls indexed | 1,161 | 2,212 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Master Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+20.7%), ranging between 0.72x and 0.92x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.84x, down overall (-1.2%), ranging between 0.79x and 1.12x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Pokémon Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.875x vs 0.844x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Master Pack: 28.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 19.4%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies