Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Wildcard Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.853x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Master Pack's 0.851x, across 22,551 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Master Pack | Wildcard Basic Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | SKIP |
| Pack price | $100 | $15 |
| Calibrated EV | $99.72 | $14.96 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.851x | 0.853x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.997x | 0.997x |
| Median pull | $86.90 | $13.20 |
| Hit rate | 29.8% | 26.2% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.48x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 5,673 | 16,878 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+1.1%), ranging between 0.78x and 0.88x. Wildcard Basic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 8 to Nov 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+1.4%), ranging between 0.82x and 0.88x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Master Pack vs Wildcard Basic Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Master Pack or Wildcard Basic Pack?
- Wildcard Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.853x vs 0.851x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Master Pack: 29.8% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Basic Pack: 26.2%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Basic Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies