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Pokemon Legend (Spicy) vs Pokémon Platinum Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, Pokémon Platinum Pack is currently the better value: a 1.116x cash-out ratio against Pokemon Legend (Spicy)'s 1.055x, across 34 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricPokemon Legend (Spicy)Pokémon Platinum Pack
VerdictCAUTIONEARLY READ
Pack price$2499$500
Calibrated EV$3116.84$641.23
Cash-out ratio1.055x1.116x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.247x1.282x
Median pull$2363.00$450.00
Hit rate28.6%29.6%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.48x0.44x
Pulls indexed727

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 283 points from Aug 11 to Sep 10, starting at 0.71x and ending at 1.05x, up overall (+47.8%), ranging between 0.71x and 1.53x. Pokémon Platinum Pack: 420 points from Aug 1 to Sep 10, starting at 0.87x and ending at 1.12x, up overall (+28.1%), ranging between 0.77x and 1.36x.

Pokemon Legend (Spicy)Pokémon Platinum Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

Pokemon Legend (Spicy) vs Pokémon Platinum Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: Pokemon Legend (Spicy) or Pokémon Platinum Pack?
Pokémon Platinum Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (1.116x vs 1.055x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
Pokemon Legend (Spicy): 28.6% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Platinum Pack: 29.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Pokemon Legend (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.44x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: Pokemon Legend (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Platinum Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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