Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.916x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)'s 0.891x, across 163 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $999 | $499 |
| Calibrated EV | $1081.44 | $519.81 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.916x | 0.891x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.083x | 1.042x |
| Median pull | $855.35 | $415.70 |
| Hit rate | 30.0% | 33.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.50x | 0.57x |
| Pulls indexed | 50 | 113 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 401 points from Aug 11 to Sep 18, starting at 0.66x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+39.4%), ranging between 0.60x and 1.24x. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 567 points from Jul 29 to Sep 18, starting at 1.07x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-17.1%), ranging between 0.59x and 1.07x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) or Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.916x vs 0.891x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond (Spicy): 30.0% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 33.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.50x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond (Spicy) EV & verdict · Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies