Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) is currently the better value: a 0.891x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Diamond Pack's 0.785x, across 139 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Diamond Pack | Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $1000 | $499 |
| Calibrated EV | $927.68 | $519.81 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.785x | 0.891x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.928x | 1.042x |
| Median pull | $854.75 | $415.70 |
| Hit rate | 15.4% | 33.6% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.26x | 0.57x |
| Pulls indexed | 26 | 113 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Diamond Pack: 512 points from Aug 3 to Sep 18, starting at 0.75x and ending at 0.79x, up overall (+4.4%), ranging between 0.70x and 0.97x. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 567 points from Jul 29 to Sep 18, starting at 1.07x and ending at 0.89x, down overall (-17.1%), ranging between 0.59x and 1.07x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Diamond Pack vs Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Diamond Pack or Pokémon Platinum (Spicy)?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.891x vs 0.785x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Diamond Pack: 15.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Platinum (Spicy): 33.6%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) has the higher volatility (0.57x vs 0.26x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Diamond Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Platinum (Spicy) EV & verdict · Why average EV lies