Pokémon Basic Pack vs Pokémon Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Basic Pack is currently the better value: a 0.916x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Master Pack's 0.854x, across 11,336 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Basic Pack | Pokémon Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | CAUTION | SKIP |
| Pack price | $15 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $15.97 | $100.13 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.916x | 0.854x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 1.065x | 1.001x |
| Median pull | $12.80 | $86.80 |
| Hit rate | 27.1% | 29.7% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.79x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 5,881 | 5,455 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Basic Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.59x and ending at 0.92x, up overall (+55.3%), ranging between 0.57x and 0.93x. Pokémon Master Pack: 1000 points from Aug 7 to Nov 3, starting at 0.85x and ending at 0.85x, essentially flat across the period, ranging between 0.78x and 0.88x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Basic Pack vs Pokémon Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Basic Pack or Pokémon Master Pack?
- Pokémon Basic Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.916x vs 0.854x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Basic Pack: 27.1% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Master Pack: 29.7%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Basic Pack has the higher volatility (0.79x vs 0.48x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Basic Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies