Pokémon Basic Pack vs Pokémon Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?
On live data, Pokémon Master Pack is currently the better value: a 0.875x cash-out ratio against Pokémon Basic Pack's 0.603x, across 1,770 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.
| Metric | Pokémon Basic Pack | Pokémon Master Pack |
|---|---|---|
| Verdict | SKIP | CAUTION |
| Pack price | $15 | $100 |
| Calibrated EV | $10.12 | $102.52 |
| Cash-out ratio | 0.603x | 0.875x |
| EV ratio (at sticker FMV) | 0.675x | 1.025x |
| Median pull | $9.00 | $86.70 |
| Hit rate | 15.9% | 28.1% |
| Volatility (stddev/EV) | 0.39x | 0.48x |
| Pulls indexed | 609 | 1,161 |
02 / EV history
EV ratio over time, overlaid
Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. Pokémon Basic Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.49x and ending at 0.60x, up overall (+21.8%), ranging between 0.49x and 0.76x. Pokémon Master Pack: 585 points from Jul 12 to Sep 18, starting at 0.72x and ending at 0.88x, up overall (+20.7%), ranging between 0.72x and 0.92x.
Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.
03 / Quick answers
Pokémon Basic Pack vs Pokémon Master Pack — quick answers
- Which is better value right now: Pokémon Basic Pack or Pokémon Master Pack?
- Pokémon Master Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.875x vs 0.603x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
- Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
- Pokémon Basic Pack: 15.9% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Pokémon Master Pack: 28.1%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
- Which pack is riskier?
- Pokémon Master Pack has the higher volatility (0.48x vs 0.39x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.
Full pages: Pokémon Basic Pack EV & verdict · Pokémon Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies