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One Piece Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Ultra Pack is currently the better value: a 0.887x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Master Pack's 0.815x, across 226 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Ultra PackWildcard Master Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$250$100
Calibrated EV$261.97$96.36
Cash-out ratio0.887x0.815x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)1.048x0.964x
Median pull$225.30$85.05
Hit rate34.4%22.8%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.42x0.33x
Pulls indexed90136

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Ultra Pack: 690 points from Jul 29 to Oct 3, starting at 0.70x and ending at 0.89x, up overall (+26.7%), ranging between 0.70x and 1.72x. Wildcard Master Pack: 713 points from Jul 12 to Oct 3, starting at 0.84x and ending at 0.81x, down overall (-2.7%), ranging between 0.69x and 0.96x.

One Piece Ultra PackWildcard Master Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Ultra Pack vs Wildcard Master Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Ultra Pack or Wildcard Master Pack?
One Piece Ultra Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.887x vs 0.815x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Ultra Pack: 34.4% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Master Pack: 22.8%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
One Piece Ultra Pack has the higher volatility (0.42x vs 0.33x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Ultra Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Master Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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