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One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack: which pack is the better rip?

On live data, One Piece Starter Pack is currently the better value: a 0.848x cash-out ratio against Wildcard Starter Pack's 0.833x, across 928 indexed pulls combined. Numbers refresh as new pulls mint.

MetricOne Piece Starter PackWildcard Starter Pack
VerdictSKIPSKIP
Pack price$25$25
Calibrated EV$24.46$23.76
Cash-out ratio0.848x0.833x
EV ratio (at sticker FMV)0.978x0.950x
Median pull$21.90$21.95
Hit rate23.2%23.5%
Volatility (stddev/EV)0.32x0.36x
Pulls indexed272656

02 / EV history

EV ratio over time, overlaid

Cash-out ratio over time, two packs compared. One Piece Starter Pack: 609 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.78x and ending at 0.85x, up overall (+8.7%), ranging between 0.62x and 1.02x. Wildcard Starter Pack: 609 points from Jul 12 to Sep 21, starting at 0.71x and ending at 0.83x, up overall (+17.5%), ranging between 0.69x and 1.02x.

One Piece Starter PackWildcard Starter Pack

Cash-out ratios: calibrated EV after each pack's own observed buyback, against its current price. 1.00x is where a pack returns exactly what it costs.

03 / Quick answers

One Piece Starter Pack vs Wildcard Starter Pack — quick answers

Which is better value right now: One Piece Starter Pack or Wildcard Starter Pack?
One Piece Starter Pack currently offers the better cash-out ratio (0.848x vs 0.833x) — what each pack returns per dollar after its own buyback haircut. Ratios refresh as new pulls are indexed, so the lead can change.
Which pack has better odds of beating its price?
One Piece Starter Pack: 23.2% of indexed pulls met or beat the pack price. Wildcard Starter Pack: 23.5%. These are observed odds from real pulls, not posted odds.
Which pack is riskier?
Wildcard Starter Pack has the higher volatility (0.36x vs 0.32x stddev/EV) — its pulls swing further from the average, in both directions.

Full pages: One Piece Starter Pack EV & verdict · Wildcard Starter Pack EV & verdict · Why average EV lies

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